GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ATLETICO TUCUMAN 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 1 · SUN, 26 JUL · 18:00 LOCAL
ATLETICO TUCUMAN
5TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D W
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
L D D L D
· 10TH · 8 PTS · LAST 5
Luis Ingolotti
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Ingolotti
Atletico Tucuman · 93 mins
· 10% pass acc
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.26
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.89
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
9
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
67%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
3
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Iván Villalba
    IND
  2. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Bucca · assist Gonzalo Rios
    IND
  3. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ramiro Paunero · assist Leonel Di Plácido
    ATL
  4. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Iván Villalba · assist Tomas Bottari
    IND
  5. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fabrizio Sartori Prieto · assist Luis Sequeira
    IND
  6. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Franco Nicola · assist F. Pimienta
    ATL
  7. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nicolás Laméndola · assist Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez
    ATL
  8. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    L. Gómez · assist Alessandro Riep
    IND
  9. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matías Fernández · assist R. Atencio
    IND
  10. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alex Arce
    IND
  11. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Leonel Vega
    ATL
  12. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lautaro Agustin Godoy · assist Kevin Ortíz
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLETICO TUCUMAN AVG 7.3
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
0.9
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
1.0
ON TARGET
3.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
226.0
PASSES
351.0
67.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
6.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
15.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLETICO TUCUMAN 1 shots
Lautaro Agustin Godoy
0/1
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA 2 shots
L. Costa
0/1
J. M. Elordi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.26 – 0.89
0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT H 0.26 A 0.89 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
4-2-3-1
5-3-2
7.6
1
LUIS INGO
2
RAMIRO PA
36
LUCIANO V
 7.3
26
CLEVER FE
 7.3
3
MAXIMILIA
 7.2
31
LAUTARO A
 7.3
19
LEONEL VE
23
NICOLáS L
10
FRANCO NI
11
RENZO TES
9
LEANDRO D
 6.7
30
NICOLáS B
 6.9
3
J. M. ELO
 6.9
42
S. STUDER
40
IVáN VILL
 7.0
2
L. COSTA
 7.2
14
L. GóMEZ
25
JOSE IGNA
8
L. BUCCA
10
MATíAS FE
43
FABRIZIO
9
ALEX ARCE
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO TUCUMAN
30
Manuel Brond...
F
18
Ramiro Ruiz...
F
8
Ezequiel Ham
M
45
Kevin Ortíz
M
28
Gabriel Comp...
D
24
Leonel Di Pl...
D
6
Gianluca Fer...
D
25
Tomás Durso
G
22
Facundo Pimi...
F
COACH: Julio Falcioni
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA
5
Tomas Bottar...
M
11
Gonzalo Rios
M
19
R. Atencio
F
45
L. Sabato
F
77
Luis Sequeir...
M
27
Diego Crego
M
32
K. Vázquez
M
20
Alessandro R...
M
34
S. Moreyra
M
13
Alejo Osella
D
21
Emmanuel Góm...
G
7
Victorio Ram...
F
COACH: Alfredo Berti
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alvaro Caranza, Argentina
—
ATL MANAGER
Julio Falcioni
head coach
IND MANAGER
Alfredo Berti
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
ATL WINS
3
DRAWS
3
IND WINS
40%
30%
30%
12 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 10
24 Jan 2026
Independ. Rivadavia
2 – 1
Atletico Tucuman
L
04 Aug 2024
Atletico Tucuman
2 – 1
Independ. Rivadavia
W
ATLETICO TUCUMAN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D W
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
ATLETICO TUCUMAN #5
Lost · already at 9 pts
Knockout Phase
INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA #1
Lost · already at 34 pts
Qualified for Copa Libertadores 2027 and Supercopa Internacional 2026
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 +3 13
D W W W W
1 Sarmiento Junin 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W L L W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D D W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
D W L L L
2 Gimnasia M. 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 6 3 1 2 +3 10
L W W D L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 6 3 3 0 +4 12
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L W L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 0 11
W D W L W
5 Atletico Tucuman 6 2 3 1 +2 9
D W L D W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
D W L L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W D L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
D W L L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Barracas Central 6 3 0 3 -1 9
L L L W W
6 Newells Old Boys 6 3 1 2 +2 10
W W L D L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
D W L L W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Gimnasia L.P. 6 3 0 3 -2 9
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Platense 6 2 2 2 -3 8
W D W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L L W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D L L L D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Deportivo Riestra 6 2 1 3 +1 7
D L W L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
9 Huracan 6 2 2 2 0 8
D L W D L
9 Union Santa Fe 6 2 1 3 -1 7
W L L W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
D W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L L W W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 -2 7
D D D W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W D W L W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 6 2 2 2 -1 8
D L W L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W W L
11 San Lorenzo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D W L L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Banfield 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L W L D W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 0 4 0 6
L W L L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W L D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W D W L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Racing Club 6 1 2 3 -3 5
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W L D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6 1 2 3 -4 5
D L L D L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
14 River Plate 6 1 1 4 -2 4
D W L L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W W L D L
15 Aldosivi 6 0 2 4 -5 2
L D L L L
15 Talleres Cordoba 5 1 0 4 -4 3
L L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L L D L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lautaro Agustin Godoy
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Leonel Vega
    Foul
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alex Arce
    Foul
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matías Fernández
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · L. Gómez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolás Laméndola
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Franco Nicola
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fabrizio Sartori Prieto
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Iván Villalba
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ramiro Paunero
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Bucca
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Iván Villalba
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ATLETICO TUCUMAN WIN
2.67
37.5% implied
↑ best 2.82
DRAW
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.10
INDEPEND. RIVADA WIN
2.76
36.2% implied
↑ best 2.88

Market favors Atletico Tucuman. AI projects ATLETICO TUCUMAN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLETICO TUCUMAN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.66 3.05 2.72 +0.4%
1xBet 2.67 3.08 2.83 +0.5%
Bet365 2.75 3.10 2.75 +1.6%
Betano 2.72 3.05 2.80 +1.2%
Betfair 2.55 3.10 2.75 -1.2%
BetVictor 2.70 3.10 2.75 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.67 3.10 2.62 +0.5%
Marathonbet 2.62 3.02 2.78 -0.2%
Pinnacle 2.82 3.02 2.88 +2.5%
SBO 2.54 2.97 2.64 -1.4%
Superbet 2.72 3.05 2.80 +1.2%
Unibet 2.65 3.10 2.75 +0.3%
William Hill 2.60 2.90 2.75 -0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.44 U 2.72
2.5 O 2.35 U 1.56
3.5 O 4.54 U 1.18
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.96 10 bks
NO
1.77 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.63
Away -0.5 1.46
Away -0.75 1.31
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.