GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · ATLETICO MADRID 58% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · WED, 19 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
ATLETICO MADRID
4TH · 69 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L L
60'
0 – 0
HT · 0-0
MALAGA
L L L L L
· LAST 5
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Atletico Madrid · 58'

LIVE
MALAGA ATLETICO

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

ATLETICO MALAGA
ATLETICO M MALAGA 30' 45' 60'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 60'

0.11
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.12
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
3
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
3
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 7 events
  1. 15'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dávid Hancko
    ATL
  2. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jorge Domínguez
    ATL
  3. 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Carlos Puga
    MAL
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jorge Domínguez · assist Marcos Llorente
    ATL
  5. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Arnau Ortiz · assist Alex Baena
    ATL
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Carlos Martín · assist Kang-in Lee
    ATL
  7. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rodrigo Mendoza · assist Giuliano Simeone
    ATL
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.1
xG
0.1
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
2.0
ON TARGET
0.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
293.0
PASSES
296.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
0.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
5.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.11 – 0.12
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT H 0.11 A 0.12 KO 30' 60' 60'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 86%
14% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
1
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-4-2
5-4-1
4-4-2
13
JAN OBLAK
30
DANI MART
 7.9
17
DáVID HAN
 6.9
24
ROBIN LE
 6.7
27
JORGE DOM
12
CARLOS MA
16
ARNAU ORT
 6.9
8
PABLO BAR
 7.2
6
KOKE
4
RODRIGO M
11
ADEMOLA L
 6.9
1
ALFONSO H
 7.2
31
RAFA GARR
 6.9
4
EINAR GAL
 6.9
15
ÁNGEL REC
3
CARLOS PU
11
JOAQUíN M
22
DANI LORE
23
IZAN MERI
10
DAVID LAR
9
CHUPETE
 7.3
8
CARLOS DO
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO MADRID
23
Morten Hjulm...
M
20
Giuliano Sim...
F
5
Johnny Cardo...
M
46
Jorge Castil...
M
7
Kang-in Lee
M
10
Alex Baena
M
22
Alejandro Gr...
D
2
José María G...
D
14
Marcos Llore...
M
18
Marc Pubill
D
1
Juan Musso
G
29
Miguel Cubo
F
COACH: Diego Simeone
SUBSTITUTES · MALAGA
19
Juan Cruz
M
32
Juan Fernand...
F
24
Julen Lobete
F
7
Haitam Abaid...
F
6
Ramón Enríqu...
M
28
Joseph Otune...
M
14
Rafa Rodrigu...
M
5
Álex Pastor
D
12
Jose Salinas
D
13
Carlos Lopez
G
17
Eneko Jaureg...
F
COACH: Juan Funes
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
—
ATL MANAGER
Diego Simeone
head coach
MAL MANAGER
Juan Funes
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
ATL WINS
2
DRAWS
1
MAL WINS
70%
20%
10%
16 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Feb 2018
Malaga
0 – 1
Atletico Madrid
W
16 Sep 2017
Atletico Madrid
1 – 0
Malaga
W
01 Apr 2017
Malaga
0 – 2
Atletico Madrid
W
29 Oct 2016
Atletico Madrid
4 – 2
Malaga
W
23 Apr 2016
Atletico Madrid
1 – 0
Malaga
W
ATLETICO MADRID LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L L
MALAGA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rodrigo Mendoza
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Carlos Martín
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Arnau Ortiz
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jorge Domínguez
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Carlos Puga
    Tripping
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jorge Domínguez
    Holding
  • 15'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dávid Hancko
    Tripping
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ATLETICO MADRID WIN
1.34
74.6% implied
↑ best 1.37
DRAW
5.22
19.2% implied
↑ best 5.50
MALAGA WIN
8.95
11.2% implied
↑ best 9.85

Market favors Atletico Madrid. AI projects ATLETICO MADRID 58% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLETICO MADRID 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.33 5.20 8.10 +8.8%
1xBet 1.37 5.39 9.85 +9.4%
888Sport 1.33 4.80 8.50 +7.2%
Bet365 1.33 5.00 9.50 +8.0%
Betano 1.36 5.50 9.25 +9.8%
Betfair 1.30 5.00 9.00 +8.0%
BetVictor 1.30 5.50 9.50 +9.8%
Dafabet 1.36 5.40 8.60 +9.5%
Marathonbet 1.35 5.30 9.70 +9.1%
Pinnacle 1.35 5.36 9.17 +9.3%
SBO 1.34 5.13 7.91 +8.5%
Superbet 1.35 5.45 8.20 +9.7%
Unibet 1.32 5.30 9.50 +9.1%
William Hill 1.33 4.80 8.50 +7.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.58
2.5 O 1.61 U 2.32
3.5 O 2.52 U 1.51
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.92 11 bks
NO
1.82 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.32
Away -0.5 3.28
Away -0.75 2.94
Away -1 2.60
Away -1.25 2.15
Away -1.5 1.87
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.