GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ATLANTA UNITED FC 38% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
ATLANTA UNITED FC
15TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
D D L L L
· 12TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 70' Ajani Fortune
GOALS
⚽ 74' Gabriel Pec ⚽ 79' Gabriel Pec
Gabriel Pec
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy · 91 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 21% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.95
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.72
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
6
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stian Gregersen
    ATL
  2. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cooper Sanchez
    ATL
  3. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Berrocal
    ATL
  4. 42'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Juan Berrocal
    ATL
  5. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    ATL
  6. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jakob Glesnes
    LOS
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Galarza · assist Ajani Fortune
    ATL
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Justin Haak · assist Marco Reus
    LOS
  9. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ajani Fortune · assist Elías Báez
    ATL
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Saba Lobzhanidze · assist Luke Brennan
    ATL
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Emmanuel Latte Lath · assist Cayman Togashi
    ATL
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Sanabria · assist Elijah Wynder
    LOS
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Harbor Miller · assist Erik Thommy
    LOS
  14. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pec · assist Marco Reus
    LOS
  15. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pec
    LOS
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Juan Berrocal · assist Enea Mihaj
    ATL
  17. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Cooper Sanchez · assist Sergio Santos
    ATL
  18. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joseph Paintsil · assist Maya Yoshida
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.5
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.7
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
422.0
PASSES
387.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
5.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
4.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLANTA UNITED FC 5 shots
Saba Lobzhanidze
2/3
Ajani Fortune
1/1
Aleksei Miranchuk
0/1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 5 shots
Gabriel Pec
4/5
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.95 – 1.72
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 70' 74' 79' H 0.95 A 1.72 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
7.7
1
LUCAS HOY
3
ELíAS BáE
6
JUAN BERR
5
STIAN GRE
55
TOMáS JAC
 7.7
8
TRISTAN M
 7.3
11
SABA LOBZ
88
MATíAS GA
48
COOPER SA
 7.2
59
ALEKSEI M
9
EMMANUEL
 7.3
12
JT MARCIN
14
JOHN NELS
 7.3
25
CARLOS GA
5
JAKOB GLE
 7.7
19
MAURICIO
 7.2
6
EDWIN CER
15
JUSTIN HA
26
HARBOR MI
8
LUCAS SAN
 8.3
11
GABRIEL P
28
JOSEPH PA
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
30
Cayman Togas...
F
35
Ajani Fortun...
M
28
William Reil...
M
20
Luke Brennan
M
47
Matthew Edwa...
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
19
Sergio Santo...
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
27
Erik Thommy
M
18
Marco Reus
M
22
Elijah Wynde...
M
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
76
Troy Elgersm...
M
2
Miki Yamane
D
4
Maya Yoshida
D
1
Novak Mićovi...
G
24
Ruben Ramos
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Bazakos
—
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ATL WINS
0
DRAWS
2
LOS WINS
60%
40%
9 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 5 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 5
25 Aug 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
25 Jul 2022
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
03 Aug 2019
Atlanta United FC
3 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
22 Apr 2018
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 – 2
Atlanta United FC
W
20 Sep 2017
Atlanta United FC
4 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L L
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ATLANTA UNITED FC #15
Lost · already at 12 pts
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #12
Won · already at 22 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joseph Paintsil
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Juan Berrocal
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pec
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pec
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Harbor Miller
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Sanabria
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Emmanuel Latte Lath
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Saba Lobzhanidze
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ajani Fortune
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Justin Haak
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Galarza
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jakob Glesnes
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 42'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Juan Berrocal
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Berrocal
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cooper Sanchez
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stian Gregersen
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
2.31
43.3% implied
↑ best 2.38
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.70
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
2.86
35% implied
↑ best 3.00

Market favors Atlanta United FC. AI projects ATLANTA UNITED FC 38% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLANTA UNITED FC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.60 2.82 +0.2%
888Sport 2.25 3.40 2.80 -1.4%
Bet365 2.30 3.50 3.00 +0.7%
Betano 2.35 3.55 2.92 -0.2%
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.88 +0.2%
BetVictor 2.30 3.60 2.80 +0.2%
Dafabet 2.36 3.70 2.90 +1.0%
Marathonbet 2.30 3.50 2.85 -0.6%
Pinnacle 2.37 3.65 2.96 +0.6%
SBO 2.31 3.40 2.76 -1.4%
Unibet 2.38 3.45 2.80 -1.0%
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.80 -1.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.42
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.20
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 9 bks
NO
2.39 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.81
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.45
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.