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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ATLANTA UNITED FC 42%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SAT, 02 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
ATLANTA UNITED FC
14TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L W L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
CF MONTREAL
D L D W W
· 11TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' Saba Lobjanidze ⚽ 45+6' Emmanuel Latte Lath ⚽ 50' Saba Lobjanidze
GOALS
⚽ 6' Matty Longstaff
Saba Lobzhanidze
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Saba Lobzhanidze
Atlanta United FC · 64 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 13% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

94%
BALL POSSESSION %
103%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
11
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
398%
PASS ACCURACY %
343%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 4'
    Card · Foul
    Emmanuel Latte Lath
    ATL
  2. 6'
    Goal · 0-1
    Matty Longstaff
    CF
  3. 20'
    Card · Foul
    Samuel Piette  
    CF
  4. 41'
    Goal · 1-1
    Saba Lobjanidze · assist Aleksey Miranchuk
    ATL
  5. 44'
    Card · Foul
    CF
  6. 45'+6
    Goal · 2-1
    Emmanuel Latte Lath · assist Aleksey Miranchuk
    ATL
  7. 50'
    Goal · 3-1
    Saba Lobjanidze · assist Cooper Sanchez
    ATL
  8. 59'
    Subst
    Daniel Ríos · assist Wikelman José Carmona Torres
    CF
  9. 59'
    Subst
    Noah Streit · assist Olger Escobar
    CF
  10. 59'
    Subst
    Victor Loturi · assist Samuel Piette  
    CF
  11. 64'
    Subst
    Ajani Fortune · assist Emmanuel Latte Lath
    ATL
  12. 64'
    Subst
    Fafà Picault · assist Saba Lobjanidze
    ATL
  13. 68'
    Subst
    Mahala Opoku · assist Iván Jaime
    CF
  14. 72'
    Subst
    Juan Berrocal · assist Stian Gregersen
    ATL
  15. 72'
    Subst
    Matthew Edwards · assist Matías Galarza Fonda
    ATL
  16. 74'
    Subst
    Fabian Herbers · assist Matty Longstaff
    CF
  17. 76'
    Subst
    Luke Brennan · assist Fafà Picault
    ATL
  18. 77'
    Card · Time wasting
    Lucas Hoyos
    ATL
  19. 90'+1
    Card · Violent conduct
    Brayan Vera
    CF
  20. 90'+2
    Card · Argument
    Enea Mihaj
    ATL
  21. 90'+5
    Card · Off the ball foul
    Tomás Jacob
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.8
CF MONTREAL AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
10.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
94.0%
POSSESSION %
103.0%
482.0
PASSES
429.0
398.0%
PASS ACCURACY
343.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
9.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLANTA UNITED FC 5 shots
Saba Lobzhanidze
3/3
Aleksey Miranchuk
1/1
Emmanuel Latte Lath
1/1
CF MONTREAL 1 shots
Matthew Longstaff
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
7.0
1
LUCAS HOY
18
PEDRO AMA
4
ENEA MIHA
5
STIAN GRE
55
TOMáS JAC
48
COOPER SA
 7.2
8
TRISTAN M
88
MATíAS GA
 9.3
11
SABA LOBZ
 7.6
9
EMMANUEL
 7.7
59
ALEKSEY M
31
THOMAS GI
13
LUCA PETR
4
BRAYAN VE
 6.9
24
EFRAíN MO
27
DAWID BUG
 7.3
8
MATTHEW L
6
SAMUEL PI
16
WIKELMAN
 6.9
10
IVáN JAIM
9
PRINCE OW
29
OLGER ESC
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
28
William Reil...
M
3
Elías Báez
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
20
Luke Brennan
M
6
Juan Berroca...
D
47
Matthew Edwa...
D
22
Fafà Picault
F
35
Ajani Fortun...
M
30
Cayman Togas...
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
2
Jalen Neal
D
5
Brandan Crai...
D
1
Sebastian Br...
G
21
Fabian Herbe...
F
7
Kwadwo Opoku
F
14
Daniel Rios
F
23
Noah Streit
M
22
Victor Lotur...
M
17
Dagur Dan Þó...
M
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Vazquez
—
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
ATL WINS
3
DRAWS
3
CF WINS
40%
30%
30%
18 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Aug 2025
CF Montreal
1 – 1
Atlanta United FC
D
23 Feb 2025
Atlanta United FC
3 – 2
CF Montreal
W
22 Oct 2024
CF Montreal
2 – 2
Atlanta United FC
D
02 Oct 2024
Atlanta United FC
1 – 2
CF Montreal
L
13 Jul 2024
CF Montreal
1 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W L
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
ATLANTA UNITED FC #14
Won · already at 11 pts
CF MONTREAL #11
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Off the ball foul · Tomás Jacob
    6th Yellowcard
  • 90'+2
    Card · Argument · Enea Mihaj
    5th Yellowcard
  • 90'+1
    Card · Violent conduct · Brayan Vera
    1st Redcard
  • 77'
    Card · Time wasting · Lucas Hoyos
    4th Yellowcard
  • 76'
    Subst · Luke Brennan
    10th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Fabian Herbers
    9th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Matthew Edwards
    8th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Juan Berrocal
    7th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Mahala Opoku
    6th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Fafà Picault
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Ajani Fortune
    4th Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Victor Loturi
    1st Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Noah Streit
    3rd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Daniel Ríos
    2nd Substitution
  • 50'
    Goal · 3-1 · Saba Lobjanidze
    4th Goal
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+6
    Goal · 2-1 · Emmanuel Latte Lath
    3rd Goal
  • 44'
    Card · Foul
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 41'
    Goal · 1-1 · Saba Lobjanidze
    2nd Goal
  • 20'
    Card · Foul · Samuel Piette  
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 6'
    Goal · 0-1 · Matty Longstaff
    1st Goal
  • 4'
    Card · Foul · Emmanuel Latte Lath
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
2.12
47.2% implied
↑ best 2.19
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.65
CF MONTREAL WIN
3.31
30.2% implied
↑ best 3.45

Market favors Atlanta United FC. AI projects ATLANTA UNITED FC 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLANTA UNITED FC 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.50 3.20 -0.6%
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.25 +0.2%
Betano 2.18 3.40 3.40 +0.6%
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.40 +0.6%
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.20 +0.2%
Dafabet 2.17 3.55 3.35 +0.1%
Marathonbet 2.11 3.36 3.32 -0.1%
Pinnacle 2.19 3.49 3.44 +0.9%
SBO 2.11 3.37 3.13 -1.7%
Unibet 2.00 3.65 3.45 +1.0%
William Hill 2.10 3.20 3.30 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 4.02
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.06
3.5 O 2.84 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 8 bks
NO
2.20 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.96
Away -0.5 1.72
Away -0.75 1.53
Away -1 1.33
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.