GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ATALANTA 58%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SAT, 02 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
ATALANTA
7TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L D
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
GENOA
L L D L W
· 16TH · 41 PTS · LAST 5
Nicola Zalewski
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nicola Zalewski
Atalanta · 94 mins
· 30% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 7 CLIPS

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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

121%
BALL POSSESSION %
77%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
7
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
380%
PASS ACCURACY %
223%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Foul
    Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
    GEN
  2. 56'
    Subst
    Caleb Ekuban · assist Lorenzo Colombo
    GEN
  3. 57'
    Subst
    Isak Hien · assist Berat Djimsiti
    ATA
  4. 57'
    Subst
    Giacomo Raspadori · assist Gianluca Scamacca
    ATA
  5. 64'
    Card · Foul
    Éderson
    ATA
  6. 69'
    Subst
    Junior Messias · assist Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
    GEN
  7. 70'
    Subst
    Ruslan Malinovskyi · assist Jeff Ekhator
    GEN
  8. 76'
    Subst
    Mario Pašalić · assist L. Greiml
    ATA
  9. 76'
    Subst
    Lazar Samardžić · assist Charles De Ketelaere
    ATA
  10. 78'
    Card · Foul
    Nikola Krstović
    ATA
  11. 85'
    Subst
    ATA
  12. 86'
    Subst
    Patrizio Masini · assist Vitinha
    GEN
  13. 86'
    Subst
    GEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATALANTA AVG 7.5
GENOA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
121.0%
POSSESSION %
77.0%
471.0
PASSES
322.0
380.0%
PASS ACCURACY
223.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATALANTA 5 shots
Charles De Ketelaere
1/2
Honest Ahanor
1/2
Nicola Zalewski
0/1
GENOA 1 shots
Leo Østigård
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-1-2
3-4-2-1
7.2
29
MARCO CAR
 7.2
69
HONEST AH
 7.2
19
BERAT DJI
42
GIORGIO S
 8.2
59
NICOLA ZA
13
ÉDERSON
15
MARTEN DE
77
DAVIDE ZA
 7.5
17
CHARLES D
90
NIKOLA KR
9
GIANLUCA
 7.9
16
JUSTIN BI
 7.2
22
JOHAN VáS
 7.9
5
LEO ØSTIG
 7.3
27
ALESSANDR
20
STEFANO S
 7.3
32
MORTEN FR
4
ALEXSANDR
77
MIKAEL EL
21
JEFF EKHA
9
VITINHA
29
LORENZO C
SUBSTITUTES · ATALANTA
16
Raoul Bellan...
D
10
Lazar Samard...
M
6
Yunus Musah
M
18
Giacomo Rasp...
F
8
M. Pašalić
M
3
Odilon Kosso...
D
4
Isak Hien
D
5
Mitchel Bakk...
D
23
S. Kolašinac
D
57
Marco Sporti...
G
31
Francesco Ro...
G
7
Kamaldeen Su...
F
COACH: Raffaele Palladino
SUBSTITUTES · GENOA
73
Patrizio Mas...
M
14
Jean Onana
M
18
Caleb Ekuban
F
70
Maxwel Corne...
F
17
Ruslan Malin...
M
99
Wedtoin Lati...
D
34
Sebastian Ot...
D
3
Aarón Martín
D
13
Nils Zätters...
D
39
Daniele Somm...
G
1
Nicola Leali
G
10
Junior Messi...
F
COACH: Daniele De Rossi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
I. Pezzuto
—
ATA MANAGER
Raffaele Palladino
head coach
GEN MANAGER
Daniele De Rossi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
ATA WINS
3
DRAWS
0
GEN WINS
70%
30%
23 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Dec 2025
Genoa
0 – 1
Atalanta
W
03 Dec 2025
Atalanta
4 – 0
Genoa
W
17 May 2025
Genoa
2 – 3
Atalanta
W
05 Oct 2024
Atalanta
5 – 1
Genoa
W
11 Feb 2024
Genoa
1 – 4
Atalanta
W
ATALANTA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L D
GENOA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
ATALANTA #7
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
GENOA #16
Lost · already at 41 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 87
D D W W D
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 76
W W L D W
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 +28 73
W W W W W
4 Como 38 20 11 7 +36 71
W W W D W
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 +18 70
L W L L D
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 +27 69
D L W D D
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 59
D L W D L
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 56
D W W D L
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 54
W L L W D
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 50
L L W W D
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 49
L L L W D
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 -19 45
D L W L D
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 45
W L L L W
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 -13 43
W W L D W
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 42
D W D L D
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 -10 41
L L D D L
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 -22 38
W W L W D
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 -25 34
L W W L L
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 -36 21
L D L D D
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst
    9th Substitution
  • 86'
    Subst · Patrizio Masini
    10th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst
    8th Substitution
  • 78'
    Card · Foul · Nikola Krstović
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 76'
    Subst · Lazar Samardžić
    7th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Mario Pašalić
    6th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Ruslan Malinovskyi
    5th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Junior Messias
    4th Substitution
  • 64'
    Card · Foul · Éderson
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 57'
    Subst · Giacomo Raspadori
    3rd Substitution
  • 57'
    Subst · Isak Hien
    2nd Substitution
  • 56'
    Subst · Caleb Ekuban
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 19'
    Card · Foul · Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ATALANTA WIN
1.51
66.2% implied
↑ best 1.56
DRAW
4.27
23.4% implied
↑ best 4.50
GENOA WIN
6.14
16.3% implied
↑ best 6.63

Market favors Atalanta. AI projects ATALANTA 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATALANTA 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.49 4.10 6.25 +2.0%
1xBet 1.56 4.50 6.49 +2.6%
888Sport 1.50 4.00 5.75 +0.6%
Bet365 1.50 4.33 6.25 +2.0%
Betano 1.55 4.45 6.50 +2.6%
Betfair 1.50 4.20 6.00 +1.3%
BetVictor 1.50 4.20 6.50 +2.6%
Dafabet 1.53 4.50 6.20 +1.9%
Marathonbet 1.53 4.45 6.25 +2.0%
Pinnacle 1.53 4.34 6.63 +2.9%
SBO 1.51 4.26 4.84 +0.5%
Unibet 1.49 4.20 6.40 +2.4%
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.80 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.07
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.77 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.82 10 bks
NO
1.93 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.19
Away -0.5 2.54
Away -0.75 2.27
Away -1 1.99
Away -1.25 1.73
Away -1.5 1.56
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.