GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ATALANTA 48%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 16:00 LOCAL
ATALANTA
7TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D L D
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
BOLOGNA
D W D L L
· 8TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 78' Riccardo Orsolini
Charles De Ketelaere
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Charles De Ketelaere
Atalanta · 82 mins
· 21% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Serie A: Atalanta vs Bologna
Open in Youtube ↗
Serie A: Atalanta vs Bologna
Serie A: Atalanta vs Bologna
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.54
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.70
45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
10
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
1
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tommaso Pobega
    BOL
  2. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marten de Roon · assist M. Pašalić
    ATA
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nicola Zalewski · assist Yunus Musah
    ATA
  4. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Giacomo Raspadori · assist Kamaldeen Sulemana
    ATA
  5. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    S. Castro · assist Thijs Dallinga
    BOL
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tommaso Pobega · assist Nikola Moro
    BOL
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Federico Bernardeschi · assist Riccardo Orsolini
    BOL
  8. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Pašalić
    ATA
  9. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Riccardo Orsolini · assist Jonathan Rowe
    BOL
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Charles De Ketelaere · assist Mitchel Bakker
    ATA
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Davide Zappacosta · assist S. Kolašinac
    ATA
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jonathan Rowe · assist Benjamín Domínguez
    BOL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATALANTA AVG 7.1
BOLOGNA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
0.7
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
0.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
382.0
PASSES
467.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
5.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATALANTA 2 shots
Charles De Ketelaere
0/2
BOLOGNA 2 shots
Riccardo Orsolini
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.54 – 0.70
0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.0 HT 78' H 0.54 A 0.70 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
6.9
29
MARCO CAR
69
HONEST AH
19
BERAT DJI
 7.0
42
GIORGIO S
59
NICOLA ZA
 6.9
13
ÉDERSON
15
MARTEN DE
77
DAVIDE ZA
18
GIACOMO R
 7.7
17
CHARLES D
90
NIKOLA KR
 7.0
1
ŁUKASZ SK
 7.3
33
JUAN MIRA
 7.2
14
TORBJøRN
5
EIVIND HE
17
JOãO MáRI
4
TOMMASO P
8
REMO FREU
11
JONATHAN
19
LEWIS FER
10
FEDERICO
9
S. CASTRO
SUBSTITUTES · ATALANTA
8
M. Pašalić
M
6
Yunus Musah
M
7
Kamaldeen Su...
F
9
Gianluca Sca...
F
16
Raoul Bellan...
D
10
Lazar Samard...
M
40
R. Obrić
D
5
Mitchel Bakk...
D
23
S. Kolašinac
D
57
Marco Sporti...
G
31
Francesco Ro...
G
45
Dominic Vava...
F
COACH: Raffaele Palladino
SUBSTITUTES · BOLOGNA
30
Benjamín Dom...
F
23
Simon Sohm
M
21
Jens Odgaard
F
7
Riccardo Ors...
F
6
Nikola Moro
M
15
Bodin Tomaše...
D
20
Nadir Zortea
D
29
Lorenzo De S...
D
22
Charalampos...
D
25
Massimo Pess...
G
13
Federico Rav...
G
24
Thijs Dallin...
F
COACH: Vincenzo Italiano
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
—
ATA MANAGER
Raffaele Palladino
head coach
BOL MANAGER
Vincenzo Italiano
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
ATA WINS
2
DRAWS
4
BOL WINS
40%
20%
40%
9 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Jan 2026
Bologna
0 – 2
Atalanta
W
13 Apr 2025
Atalanta
2 – 0
Bologna
W
04 Feb 2025
Atalanta
0 – 1
Bologna
L
28 Sep 2024
Bologna
1 – 1
Atalanta
D
03 Mar 2024
Atalanta
1 – 2
Bologna
L
ATALANTA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D L D
BOLOGNA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
ATALANTA #7
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
BOLOGNA #8
Won · already at 56 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 87
D D W W D
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 76
W W L D W
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 +28 73
W W W W W
4 Como 38 20 11 7 +36 71
W W W D W
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 +18 70
L W L L D
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 +27 69
D L W D D
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 59
D L W D L
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 56
D W W D L
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 54
W L L W D
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 50
L L W W D
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 49
L L L W D
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 -19 45
D L W L D
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 45
W L L L W
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 -13 43
W W L D W
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 42
D W D L D
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 -10 41
L L D D L
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 -22 38
W W L W D
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 -25 34
L W W L L
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 -36 21
L D L D D
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jonathan Rowe
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Davide Zappacosta
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Charles De Ketelaere
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Riccardo Orsolini
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Pašalić
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Federico Bernardeschi
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tommaso Pobega
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · S. Castro
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Giacomo Raspadori
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nicola Zalewski
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marten de Roon
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tommaso Pobega
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ATALANTA WIN
1.74
57.5% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
4.00
25% implied
↑ best 4.20
BOLOGNA WIN
4.42
22.6% implied
↑ best 4.70

Market favors Atalanta. AI projects ATALANTA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATALANTA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.75 4.00 4.10 +10.0%
1xBet 1.77 4.20 4.70 +11.2%
888Sport 1.70 3.80 4.20 +8.7%
Bet365 1.73 4.10 4.33 +10.6%
Betano 1.80 4.10 4.50 +10.6%
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.60 +10.0%
BetVictor 1.73 4.00 4.40 +10.0%
Dafabet 1.76 4.10 4.40 +10.6%
Marathonbet 1.73 4.10 4.60 +10.6%
Pinnacle 1.75 4.05 4.65 +10.3%
SBO 1.74 3.80 4.20 +8.7%
Unibet 1.67 3.95 4.50 +9.7%
William Hill 1.73 3.80 4.33 +8.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.52
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.27
3.5 O 2.55 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.21 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.51
Away -0.5 2.12
Away -0.75 1.89
Away -1 1.64
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.