GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · ARSENAL 72%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT 25 APR · 16:30 LOCAL
ARSENAL
1ST · 73 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L W W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NEWCASTLE
L L L L W
· 14TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Eberechi Eze
GOALS
Piero Hincapié
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Piero Hincapié
Arsenal · 94 mins
· 14% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Arsenal vs Newcastle United
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Premier League: Arsenal vs Newcastle United
Premier League: Arsenal vs Newcastle United
Premier League: Arsenal vs Newcastle United
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.85
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.82
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
12
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
7
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Eberechi Eze · assist Kai Havertz
    ARS
  2. 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kai Havertz · assist Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS
  3. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eberechi Eze · assist Gabriel Martinelli
    ARS
  4. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dan Burn
    NEW
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jacob Murphy · assist Harvey Barnes
    NEW
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    William Osula · assist Yoane Wissa
    NEW
  7. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gabriel Martinelli
    ARS
  8. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nick Pope
    NEW
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bruno Guimarães · assist Nick Woltemade
    NEW
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Martín Zubimendi · assist Myles Lewis-Skelly
    ARS
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Noni Madueke · assist Bukayo Saka
    ARS
  12. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Declan Rice
    ARS
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joe Willock · assist Anthony Elanga
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARSENAL AVG 7.3
NEWCASTLE AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS ARS vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
0.8
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
391.0
PASSES
457.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARSENAL 4 shots
Eberechi Eze
1/3
Martin Odegaard
1/1
NEWCASTLE 2 shots
Bruno Guimarães
0/1
Sandro Tonali
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.85 – 0.82
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 9' ARS 0.85 A 0.82 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
ARS 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-1-4-1
4-3-3
4-1-4-1
1
DAVID RAY
 7.5
5
PIERO HIN
6
GABRIEL M
2
WILLIAM S
 6.9
4
BEN WHITE
41
DECLAN RI
 7.3
36
MARTíN ZU
 7.3
8
MARTIN OD
 7.3
10
EBERECHI
29
KAI HAVER
20
NONI MADU
 7.3
1
NICK POPE
33
DAN BURN
 7.3
4
SVEN BOTM
 7.3
12
MALICK TH
67
LEWIS MIL
 6.9
8
SANDRO TO
41
JACOB RAM
 7.3
39
BRUNO GUI
28
JOE WILLO
23
JACOB MUR
18
WILLIAM O
SUBSTITUTES · ARSENAL
11
Gabriel Mart...
F
19
Leandro Tros...
F
9
Gabriel Jesu...
F
7
Bukayo Saka
F
56
Max Dowman
M
49
Myles Lewis-...
D
3
Cristhian Mo...
D
13
Kepa Arrizab...
G
14
Viktor Gyöke...
F
COACH: Mikel Arteta
SUBSTITUTES · NEWCASTLE
27
Nick Woltema...
F
20
Anthony Elan...
F
11
Harvey Barne...
M
9
Yoane Wissa
F
37
Alex Murphy
D
3
Lewis Hall
D
2
Kieran Tripp...
D
32
Aaron Ramsda...
G
62
Sean Neave
F
COACH: Eddie Howe
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Samuel Barrott, England
—
ARS MANAGER
Mikel Arteta
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Eddie Howe
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
ARS WINS
0
DRAWS
4
NEW WINS
60%
40%
13 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Sep 25
Newcastle
1 – 2
Arsenal
W
18 May 25
Arsenal
1 – 0
Newcastle
W
02 Nov 24
Newcastle
1 – 0
Arsenal
L
24 Feb 24
Arsenal
4 – 1
Newcastle
W
04 Nov 23
Newcastle
1 – 0
Arsenal
L
ARSENAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W W
NEWCASTLE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
ARSENAL #1
Won · already at 73 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
NEWCASTLE #14
Lost · already at 42 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 +38 73
W L L W W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 34 17 10 7 +14 61
W W L D W
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 +13 58
W W W L D
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 +9 50
W D W W W
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 0 49
D W W D D
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
9 Brentford 34 13 9 12 +3 48
L D D D D
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 -2 48
W D L W D
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 -9 46
L L W W L
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 -3 43
L D W D W
14 Newcastle 34 12 6 16 -4 42
L L L L W
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 -7 40
D W W D D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 -16 36
W D W L D
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 -34 20
L L L L D
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 -38 17
L L L D W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joe Willock
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Declan Rice
    Roughing
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Noni Madueke
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Martín Zubimendi
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bruno Guimarães
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nick Pope
    Roughing
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gabriel Martinelli
    Tripping
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · William Osula
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jacob Murphy
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dan Burn
    Roughing
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eberechi Eze
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kai Havertz
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Eberechi Eze
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ARSENAL WIN
1.43
69.9% implied
↑ best 1.47
DRAW
4.75
21.1% implied
↑ best 5.00
NEWCASTLE WIN
7.19
13.9% implied
↑ best 8.05

Market favors Arsenal. AI projects ARSENAL 72%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARSENAL 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER ARS X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.44 4.45 6.60 +2.6%
1xBet 1.46 4.89 8.05 +3.5%
888Sport 1.44 4.40 6.50 +2.6%
Bet365 1.42 4.75 7.00 +1.6%
Betano 1.47 4.80 7.50 +4.0%
Betfair 1.40 5.00 7.50 +0.6%
BetVictor 1.40 4.75 6.00 +0.6%
Dafabet 1.44 4.96 7.14 +2.6%
Marathonbet 1.44 4.95 7.90 +2.6%
Pinnacle 1.43 4.92 7.86 +2.1%
SBO 1.38 4.56 7.43 -0.5%
Unibet 1.40 4.90 7.50 +0.6%
William Hill 1.44 4.40 6.50 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.14
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.15
3.5 O 2.72 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 10 bks
NO
1.90 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.61
Away -0.5 2.82
Away -0.75 2.56
Away -1 2.22
Away -1.25 1.91
Away -1.5 1.68
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.