GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ARGENTINA 72% · Value: BTTS Yes 62%
CONF 64 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · FRI, 03 JUL · 22:00 LOCAL
ARGENTINA
1ST · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
AET
3 – 2
AFTER EXTRA TIME HT · 1-0
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
D D D
· 10TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 29' L. Messi ⚽ 92' Lisandro Martínez ⚽ 111' Diney Borges (OG)
GOALS
⚽ 59' Deroy Duarte ⚽ 103' Sidny Lopes Cabral
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Argentina · Captain · 120 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 36% pass acc · 6 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.16
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.45
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
16
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
92%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
8
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi · assist Lisandro Martínez
    ARG
  2. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Deroy Duarte · assist Ryan Mendes
    CAP
  3. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lautaro Martínez · assist J. Álvarez
    ARG
  4. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Almada · assist N. González
    ARG
  5. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Duarte · assist Jamiro Monteiro
    CAP
  6. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nuno Da Costa · assist Dailon Rocha Livramento
    CAP
  7. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Pina
    CAP
  8. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryan Mendes · assist Willy Semedo
    CAP
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jovane Cabral · assist Hélio Varela
    CAP
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    R. De Paul · assist L. Paredes
    ARG
  11. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    F. Medina · assist N. Tagliafico
    ARG
  12. 92'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lisandro Martínez · assist A. Mac Allister
    ARG
  13. 100'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Deroy Duarte · assist Yannick Semedo
    CAP
  14. 100'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Kevin Pina · assist Gilson Tavares
    CAP
  15. 103'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sidny Lopes Cabral · assist Yannick Semedo
    CAP
  16. 104'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    N. Molina · assist G. Montiel
    ARG
  17. 111'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Diney Borges
    ARG
  18. 115'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Montiel
    ARG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARGENTINA AVG 8.1
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.5
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
10.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
849.0
PASSES
476.0
92.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
8.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARGENTINA 10 shots
L. Messi
6/7
Lisandro Martínez
1/1
L. Paredes
1/1
C. Romero
0/1
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS 5 shots
Sidny Lopes Cabral
2/2
Deroy Duarte
2/2
Kevin Pina
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.16 – 0.45
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 29' 92' 111' 59' 103' H 2.16 A 0.45 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-1-4-1
4-4-2
4-1-4-1
23
E. MARTíN
25
F. MEDINA
 9.2
6
LISANDRO
 7.2
13
C. ROMERO
26
N. MOLINA
16
T. ALMADA
24
E. FERNáN
20
A. MAC AL
 7.6
7
R. DE PAU
22
LAUTARO M
 9.3
10
L. MESSI
 8.5
1
VOZINHA
 7.3
13
SIDNY LOP
3
DINEY BOR
 6.9
4
PICO
22
S. MOREIR
 7.0
6
KEVIN PIN
7
JOVANE CA
 7.2
14
DEROY DUA
15
L. DUARTE
20
RYAN MEND
21
NUNO DA C
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINA
19
N. Otamendi
D
14
E. Palacios
M
11
G. Lo Celso
M
17
G. Simeone
F
18
N. Paz
F
8
V. Barco
M
2
M. Senesi
D
1
J. Musso
G
12
G. Rulli
G
4
G. Montiel
D
3
N. Tagliafic...
D
5
L. Paredes
M
9
J. Álvarez
F
15
N. González
F
21
J. López
F
COACH: Lionel Scaloni
SUBSTITUTES · CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
5
Logan Costa
D
25
Kelvin Pires
D
2
Stopira
D
24
Wagner Pina
D
11
Garry Rodrig...
F
8
João Paulo
M
12
Márcio Rosa
G
23
CJ Dos Santo...
G
9
Gilson Tavar...
F
16
Yannick Seme...
M
17
Willy Semedo
F
26
Hélio Varela
F
19
Dailon Rocha...
F
10
Jamiro Monte...
M
18
Telmo Arcanj...
M
COACH: Pedro Leitao Brito
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Drew Fischer, Canada
—
ARG MANAGER
Lionel Scaloni
head coach
CAP MANAGER
Pedro Leitao Brito
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
ARG WINS
0
DRAWS
0
CAP WINS
100%
1 – 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
ARGENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
ARGENTINA #1
Won · already at 9 pts
Round of 32
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS #2
Lost · already at 3 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 115'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Montiel
    Tripping
  • 111'
    Goal · Own Goal · Diney Borges
  • 104'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · N. Molina
  • 103'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sidny Lopes Cabral
  • 100'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Kevin Pina
  • 100'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Deroy Duarte
  • 92'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lisandro Martínez
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · F. Medina
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · R. De Paul
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jovane Cabral
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryan Mendes
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Pina
    Holding
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nuno Da Costa
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Duarte
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Almada
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lautaro Martínez
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Deroy Duarte
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ARGENTINA WIN
1.14
87.7% implied
↑ best 1.18
DRAW
8.12
12.3% implied
↑ best 9.35
CAPE VERDE ISLAN WIN
20.12
5% implied
↑ best 23.00

Market favors Argentina. AI projects ARGENTINA 72% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARGENTINA 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.13 7.50 18.00 +6.7%
1xBet 1.15 9.35 23.00 +9.3%
888Sport 1.13 7.50 17.00 +6.7%
Bet365 1.14 8.00 21.00 +7.5%
Betano 1.18 8.50 17.50 +8.2%
Betfair 1.13 8.50 23.00 +8.2%
BetVictor 1.11 8.00 23.00 +7.5%
Dafabet 1.16 7.40 18.00 +6.5%
Marathonbet 1.14 8.10 20.50 +7.7%
Pinnacle 1.16 8.75 21.00 +8.6%
SBO 1.14 7.50 17.50 +6.7%
Unibet 1.13 8.50 23.00 +8.2%
William Hill 1.14 8.00 19.00 +7.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.56
2.5 O 1.61 U 2.29
3.5 O 2.51 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.94 10 bks
NO
1.36 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 11.17
Away -0.5 5.68
Away -0.75 5.03
Away -1 4.57
Away -1.25 3.22
Away -1.5 2.61
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.