GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ARGENTINA 58%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 2 · MON, 22 JUN · 17:00 LOCAL
ARGENTINA
1ST · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
AUSTRIA
L D W
· 2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' L. Messi (P) ⚽ 38' L. Messi ⚽ 90+5' L. Messi
GOALS
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Argentina · Captain · 98 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 30% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.65
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.50
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
6
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
1
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    L. Messi · assist L. Messi
    ARG
  2. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi · assist F. Medina
    ARG
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Posch
    AUS
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    C. Romero · assist Nicolás Otamendi
    ARG
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Almada · assist J. Álvarez
    ARG
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lautaro Martínez · assist N. González
    ARG
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    David Alaba · assist Marco Friedl
    AUS
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Posch · assist Alexander Prass
    AUS
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Paul Wanner · assist Marko Arnautović
    AUS
  10. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    F. Medina
    ARG
  11. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Konrad Laimer
    AUS
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Romano Schmid · assist Patrick Wimmer
    AUS
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    R. De Paul · assist L. Paredes
    ARG
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    F. Medina · assist Nicolás Tagliafico
    ARG
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Michael Gregoritsch · assist Carney Chukwuemeka
    AUS
  16. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Paredes
    ARG
  17. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi
    ARG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARGENTINA AVG 7.6
AUSTRIA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.7
xG
0.5
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
553.0
PASSES
468.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARGENTINA 7 shots
L. Messi
4/7
AUSTRIA 1 shots
Michael Gregoritsch
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.65 – 0.50
2.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 9' 38' 90' H 2.65 A 0.50 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
23
E. MARTíN
25
F. MEDINA
 7.2
6
LISANDRO
 7.2
13
C. ROMERO
26
N. MOLINA
16
T. ALMADA
 7.2
24
E. FERNáN
20
A. MAC AL
7
R. DE PAU
 7.2
22
LAUTARO M
 9.3
10
L. MESSI
1
ALEXANDER
20
KONRAD LA
 7.9
8
DAVID ALA
 6.9
3
K. DANSO
5
S. POSCH
4
X. SCHLAG
 7.7
6
NICOLAS S
9
MARCEL SA
24
PAUL WANN
 6.9
18
ROMANO SC
 6.7
11
MICHAEL G
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINA
4
Gonzalo Mont...
D
8
V. Barco
M
18
N. Paz
F
17
G. Simeone
F
11
Giovani Lo C...
M
14
E. Palacios
M
2
M. Senesi
D
12
G. Rulli
G
1
J. Musso
G
5
L. Paredes
M
3
Nicolás Tagl...
D
9
J. Álvarez
F
15
N. González
F
19
Nicolás Otam...
D
21
J. López
F
COACH: Lionel Scaloni
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTRIA
25
M. Svoboda
D
15
Philipp Lien...
D
19
Dejan Ljubič...
M
10
Florian Gril...
M
26
Alessandro S...
M
16
Phillipp Mwe...
D
2
David Affeng...
D
12
Florian Wieg...
G
13
P. Pentz
G
17
Carney Chukw...
M
21
Patrick Wimm...
M
7
Marko Arnaut...
F
22
Alexander Pr...
D
23
Marco Friedl
D
14
S. Kalajdzic
F
COACH: Ralf Rangnick
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Amin Mohamed Omar, Egypt
—
ARG MANAGER
Lionel Scaloni
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Ralf Rangnick
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
ARG WINS
1
DRAWS
0
AUS WINS
100%
ARGENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
AUSTRIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
ARGENTINA #1
Won · already at 9 pts
Round of 32
AUSTRIA #2
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Paredes
    Roughing
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Michael Gregoritsch
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · F. Medina
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · R. De Paul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Romano Schmid
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Konrad Laimer
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · F. Medina
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Paul Wanner
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Posch
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · David Alaba
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lautaro Martínez
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Almada
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · C. Romero
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Posch
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
  • 9'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · L. Messi
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ARGENTINA WIN
1.47
68% implied
↑ best 1.65
DRAW
4.28
23.4% implied
↑ best 4.60
AUSTRIA WIN
7.35
13.6% implied
↑ best 8.25

Market favors Argentina. AI projects ARGENTINA 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARGENTINA 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.43 4.20 7.60 +2.8%
1xBet 1.50 4.50 7.75 +3.8%
888Sport 1.44 4.00 7.00 +1.7%
Bet365 1.44 4.33 7.50 +2.9%
Betano 1.52 4.30 7.50 +2.7%
Betfair 1.40 4.50 8.00 +3.8%
BetVictor 1.44 4.20 7.50 +2.7%
Dafabet 1.65 3.75 5.20 -0.7%
Marathonbet 1.49 4.45 7.70 +3.5%
Pinnacle 1.47 4.60 8.25 +4.3%
SBO 1.46 4.26 7.50 +2.7%
Superbet 1.49 4.35 6.90 +3.0%
Unibet 1.46 4.30 7.50 +2.7%
William Hill 1.44 4.20 7.00 +2.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.45
2.5 O 1.94 U 1.87
3.5 O 3.41 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.11 11 bks
NO
1.68 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.42
Away -0.5 2.70
Away -0.75 2.42
Away -1 2.07
Away -1.25 1.77
Away -1.5 1.59
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.