GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · ARGENTINA 58%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 1 · WED, 17 JUN · 01:00 LOCAL
ARGENTINA
1ST · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ALGERIA
L D W W W
· 6TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 17' L. Messi ⚽ 60' L. Messi ⚽ 76' L. Messi
GOALS
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Argentina · Captain · 80 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 30% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.47
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.30
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
7
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
2
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 9'
    Var · Goal cancelled
    Farès Chaïbi
    ALG
  2. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi · assist R. De Paul
    ARG
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gonzalo Montiel · assist N. Molina
    ARG
  4. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Almada · assist N. González
    ARG
  5. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lautaro Martínez · assist J. Álvarez
    ARG
  6. 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi
    ARG
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Anis Hadj Moussa · assist R. Mahrez
    ALG
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hicham Boudaoui · assist Houssem Aouar
    ALG
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Amine Gouiri · assist M. Amoura
    ALG
  10. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Messi · assist N. González
    ARG
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    C. Romero · assist Nicolás Otamendi
    ARG
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    L. Messi · assist N. Paz
    ARG
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    I. Maza · assist A. Boulbina
    ALG
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nabil Bentaleb · assist Ramiz Zerrouki
    ALG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARGENTINA AVG 7.8
ALGERIA AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
0.3
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
6.0
ON TARGET
0.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
561.0
PASSES
609.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
2.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
8.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARGENTINA 6 shots
L. Messi
4/6
ALGERIA 1 shots
Houssem Aouar
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.47 – 0.30
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 17' 60' 76' H 1.47 A 0.30 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
23
E. MARTíN
 7.0
25
F. MEDINA
6
LISANDRO
 7.2
13
C. ROMERO
4
GONZALO M
16
T. ALMADA
 7.2
24
E. FERNáN
20
A. MAC AL
 7.5
7
R. DE PAU
22
LAUTARO M
 10.0
10
L. MESSI
 6.9
23
L. ZIDANE
15
RAYAN AïT
21
RAMY BENS
2
AïSSA MAN
17
R. BELGHA
22
I. MAZA
 6.6
19
NABIL BEN
14
HICHAM BO
10
FARèS CHA
 6.7
9
AMINE GOU
11
ANIS HADJ
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINA
3
Nicolás Tagl...
D
11
Giovani Lo C...
M
2
M. Senesi
D
9
J. Álvarez
F
21
J. López
F
8
V. Barco
M
17
G. Simeone
F
26
N. Molina
D
15
N. González
F
14
E. Palacios
M
5
L. Paredes
M
19
Nicolás Otam...
D
1
J. Musso
G
12
G. Rulli
G
18
N. Paz
F
COACH: Lionel Scaloni
SUBSTITUTES · ALGERIA
20
A. Boulbina
F
25
F. Ghedjemis
F
4
M. Tougai
D
5
Z. Belaïd
D
18
M. Amoura
F
12
A. Benbouali
F
24
Y. Titraoui
M
13
J. Hadjam
D
26
S. Chergui
D
6
Ramiz Zerrou...
M
8
Houssem Aoua...
M
7
R. Mahrez
F
16
O. Benbot
G
1
M. Mastil
G
3
A. Abada
D
COACH: Vladimir Petkovic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ALG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Marciniak
—
ARG MANAGER
Lionel Scaloni
head coach
ALG MANAGER
Vladimir Petkovic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
ARG WINS
0
DRAWS
0
ALG WINS
100%
3 – 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
ARGENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
ALGERIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
ARGENTINA #1
Won · already at 9 pts
Round of 32
ALGERIA #3
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nabil Bentaleb
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · I. Maza
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · L. Messi
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · C. Romero
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Amine Gouiri
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hicham Boudaoui
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Anis Hadj Moussa
  • 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lautaro Martínez
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Almada
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gonzalo Montiel
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Messi
  • 9'
    Var · Goal cancelled · Farès Chaïbi
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ARGENTINA WIN
1.48
67.6% implied
↑ best 1.57
DRAW
4.23
23.6% implied
↑ best 4.60
ALGERIA WIN
7.24
13.8% implied
↑ best 8.50

Market favors Argentina. AI projects ARGENTINA 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARGENTINA 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.54 4.10 6.00 +3.3%
1xBet 1.52 4.44 7.65 +6.9%
888Sport 1.44 3.90 6.50 +4.6%
Bet365 1.50 4.20 7.00 +5.7%
Betano 1.57 4.05 7.20 +6.1%
Betfair 1.50 4.10 7.00 +5.7%
BetVictor 1.44 4.20 7.50 +6.7%
Dafabet 1.39 4.60 8.00 +7.5%
Marathonbet 1.50 4.40 7.60 +6.8%
Pinnacle 1.55 4.20 7.25 +6.2%
SBO 1.42 4.41 8.20 +7.8%
Superbet 1.52 4.25 6.50 +4.6%
Unibet 1.43 4.35 8.50 +8.2%
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.50 +4.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.46
2.5 O 1.95 U 1.86
3.5 O 3.41 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.06 11 bks
NO
1.70 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.38
Away -0.5 2.64
Away -0.75 2.37
Away -1 2.02
Away -1.25 1.74
Away -1.5 1.58
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.