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Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · GROUP 4 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 14:30 LOCAL
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ARETXABALETA
FT
2 – 5
FULL TIME
REAL SOCIEDAD III
⚽ 4' — ⚽ 40' —
GOALS
⚽ 10' J. Gorosabel ⚽ 25' E. Nebreda ⚽ 30' J. Gorosabel ⚽ 77' J. Gorosabel ⚽ 89' S. Samuyiwa
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 92/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ARE
2 – 5
REA
most likely scoreline · 6.1% probability
AI PICKS REAL SOCIEDAD III TO WIN 98%
FT 2 – 5
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 5
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ARE WIN 1%
DRAW 1%
REA WIN 98%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
REAL SOCIEDAD III TO WIN

AI consensus across 98% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 98% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ OVER 3.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Real Sociedad III 3 goals up at 90'; match is effectively over.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ARETXABALETA CHALLENGED
1%
3-goal deficit with match at 90' — mathematically no time for comeback
CONTEXT
Real Sociedad III in complete control throughout second half
CONTEXT
Both teams scoring confirmed — BTTS locked in
CONTEXT
WHY REAL SOCIEDAD III FAVORED
98%
3-goal deficit with match at 90' — mathematically no time for comeback
CONTEXT
Real Sociedad III in complete control throughout second half
CONTEXT
Both teams scoring confirmed — BTTS locked in
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 3-goal deficit with match at 90' — mathematically no time for comeback
  • Real Sociedad III in complete control throughout second half
  • Both teams scoring confirmed — BTTS locked in
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 4' ⚽ 10' J. GOROSAB ⚽ 25' E. NEBREDA ⚽ 30' J. GOROSAB ⚽ 40' ⚽ 77' J. GOROSAB ⚽ 89' S. SAMUYIW
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 7 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 6.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.2
1.0
2.3
3.4
3.8
3.4
2.6
1
0.4
1.6
3.6
5.4
6.1
5.5
4.1
2
0.3
1.3
2.9
4.4
4.9
4.4
3.3
3
0.2
0.7
1.6
2.4
2.6
2.4
1.8
4
0.1
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.1
1.0
0.7
5
·
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
6+
·
·
·
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 4 6.1%
1 — 5 5.5%
1 — 3 5.4%
2 — 4 4.9%
2 — 5 4.4%
Top 5 = 26.4% · rest 73.6%