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Liga 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 30 · TUE 28 APR · 08:30 LOCAL
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AREMA FC
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
:
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MINS
:
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SECS
Kanjuruhan Stadium
PERSEBAYA SURABAYA
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ARE
1 – 1
PER
most likely scoreline · 14.8% probability
AI PICKS AREMA FC TO WIN 48%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
ARE WIN 48%
DRAW 26%
PER WIN 26%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 74% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 74% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched midtable clash; Persebaya slight edge in league position but limited data favours draw.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AREMA FC FAVORED
48%
Persebaya ranked 2 spots higher (7th vs 10th, +6 pts) with marginally better GD (-2 vs 0)
+25.0%
Form data extremely limited (2–3 matches each); both show mixed W/D/L pattern
+20.0%
SportMonks model (home 48.9%, away 26.6%, draw 24.5%) skews home but bookmaker odds (43.1% home) suggest caution
+15.0%
WHY PERSEBAYA SURABAYA CHALLENGED
26%
Persebaya ranked 2 spots higher (7th vs 10th, +6 pts) with marginally better GD (-2 vs 0)
+25.0%
Form data extremely limited (2–3 matches each); both show mixed W/D/L pattern
+20.0%
SportMonks model (home 48.9%, away 26.6%, draw 24.5%) skews home but bookmaker odds (43.1% home) suggest caution
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Persebaya ranked 2 spots higher (7th vs 10th, +6 pts) with marginally better GD (-2 vs 0)
  • Form data extremely limited (2–3 matches each); both show mixed W/D/L pattern
  • SportMonks model (home 48.9%, away 26.6%, draw 24.5%) skews home but bookmaker odds (43.1% home) suggest caution
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.3
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.8
13.4
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.0
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.9
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.3%
2 — 0 8.0%
Top 5 = 62.1% · rest 37.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
26 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
48.0%
2.08
+4.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
54.0%
1.85
-5.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
58.0%
1.72
-5.5%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
74.0%
1.35
-6.8%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
74.0%
1.35
-7.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.68
52.0%
1.92
-12.5%
—
Draw
26 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.26
26.0%
3.85
-15.2%
—
AWAY to Win
26 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.90
26.0%
3.85
-24.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.