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First League · CONFERENCE LEAGUE GROUP - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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ARDA KARDZHALI
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME
BOTEV PLOVDIV
GOALS
⚽ 35' Todor Nedelev ⚽ 52' Williams Chimezie Oluebube
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ARD
1 – 0
BOT
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 0 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ARD WIN 38%
DRAW 48%
BOT WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 52% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 52% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early stalemate with Botev picking up cards; slight home edge but draw most likely given 0-0 at 19'.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ARDA KARDZHALI CHALLENGED
38%
0-0 at 19' — draw is baseline; 71 minutes remain for late goals
CONTEXT
Arda home form mixed (DWWL) but H2H shows Arda dominance (5-0 win, 1 clean sheet)
CONTEXT
Botev on road weak (DLLW) and two early yellows suggest defensive discipline issues
CONTEXT
WHY BOTEV PLOVDIV CHALLENGED
14%
0-0 at 19' — draw is baseline; 71 minutes remain for late goals
CONTEXT
Arda home form mixed (DWWL) but H2H shows Arda dominance (5-0 win, 1 clean sheet)
CONTEXT
Botev on road weak (DLLW) and two early yellows suggest defensive discipline issues
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 at 19' — draw is baseline; 71 minutes remain for late goals
  • Arda home form mixed (DWWL) but H2H shows Arda dominance (5-0 win, 1 clean sheet)
  • Botev on road weak (DLLW) and two early yellows suggest defensive discipline issues
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 35' TODOR NEDE ⚽ 52' WILLIAMS C
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.02
48.0%
2.08
+45.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.37
86.0%
1.16
+17.6%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.50
38.0%
2.63
-5.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.50
62.0%
1.61
-7.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.26
32.0%
3.13
-27.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
52.0%
1.92
-30.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.89
28.0%
3.57
-47.0%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.80
14.0%
7.14
-60.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.