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Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · GROUP 8 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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ARANDINA
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME
BEMBIBRE
⚽ 9' S. Benlloch ⚽ 20' A. S. Ake Mariano ⚽ 40' A. Freixa
GOALS
⚽ 3' V. Prieto ⚽ 72' V. Prieto ⚽ 83' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ARA
2 – 1
BEM
most likely scoreline · 11.4% probability
AI PICKS ARANDINA TO WIN 48%
FT 3 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ARA WIN 48%
DRAW 38%
BEM WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 85% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 85% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early-match parity at 1-1; Arandina's home form and recent W-streak edge toward home win, but draw is live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ARANDINA FAVORED
48%
Tied at 11' in high-scoring start (3 goals in 24 min) — match likely to stay open
CONTEXT
Arandina home form (WWDW) and recent W-streak (DLWWW) vs Bembibre road struggles (LLDL)
CONTEXT
H2H trend: last 2 meetings both 1-1; Arandina W-streak not yet decisive
CONTEXT
WHY BEMBIBRE CHALLENGED
14%
Tied at 11' in high-scoring start (3 goals in 24 min) — match likely to stay open
CONTEXT
Arandina home form (WWDW) and recent W-streak (DLWWW) vs Bembibre road struggles (LLDL)
CONTEXT
H2H trend: last 2 meetings both 1-1; Arandina W-streak not yet decisive
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Tied at 11' in high-scoring start (3 goals in 24 min) — match likely to stay open
  • Arandina home form (WWDW) and recent W-streak (DLWWW) vs Bembibre road struggles (LLDL)
  • H2H trend: last 2 meetings both 1-1; Arandina W-streak not yet decisive
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 3' V. PRIETO ⚽ 9' S. BENLLOC ⚽ 20' A. S. AKE ⚽ 40' A. FREIXA ⚽ 72' V. PRIETO ⚽ 83'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.7
9.2
3.9
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.4
9.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
·
·
3
8.1
7.0
3.0
0.9
0.2
·
·
4
4.4
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.4%
1 — 0 10.7%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.2%
3 — 0 8.1%
Top 5 = 49.1% · rest 50.9%