GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ANDERLECHT 42%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 35 · SUN 26 APR · 16:30 LOCAL
ANDERLECHT
6TH · 44 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L L
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
UNION ST. GILLOISE
D W W L L
· 1ST · 66 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 32' M. Cvetkovic
GOALS
⚽ 17' Adem Zorgane ⚽ 25' Adem Zorgane ⚽ 65' Guilherme Smith
Adem Zorgane
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adem Zorgane
Union St. Gilloise · 76 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 30% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.12
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.48
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
12
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adem Zorgane · assist Anan Khalaili
    UNI
  2. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ross Sykes
    UNI
  3. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adem Zorgane · assist Anouar Ait El Hadj
    UNI
  4. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Cvetkovic · assist Ali Maamar
    AND
  5. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Cvetkovic
    AND
  6. 45'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Rodriguez
    UNI
  7. 45'+7
    Card · Red Card
    Killian Sardella
    AND
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ilay Camara · assist Lucas Hey
    AND
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Cvetkovic · assist Adriano Bertaccini
    AND
  10. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guilherme Smith
    UNI
  11. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Raul Florucz · assist Ousseynou Niang
    UNI
  12. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Mac Allister
    UNI
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yari Verschaeren · assist Ibrahim Kanate
    AND
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Anan Khalaili · assist Louis Patris
    UNI
  15. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Adem Zorgane · assist Rob Schoofs
    UNI
  16. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guilherme Smith · assist Ivan Pavlić
    UNI
  17. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kevin Rodriguez · assist Mohammed Fuseini
    UNI
  18. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nathan-Dylan Saliba · assist Joshua Nga Kana
    AND
  19. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Moussa Diarra · assist Mathys Angely
    AND
  20. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Taravel
    AND
  21. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ibrahim Kanate
    AND
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ANDERLECHT AVG 7.0
UNION ST. GILLOISE AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.5
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
461.0
PASSES
372.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ANDERLECHT 4 shots
Thorgan Hazard
0/2
Mihajlo Cvetković
1/1
Marco Kana
1/1
UNION ST. GILLOISE 5 shots
Adem Zorgane
2/2
Guilherme Smith
1/1
Anouar Ait El Hadj
0/1
Anan Khalaili
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.12 – 0.48
0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 32' 17' 25' 65' H 1.12 A 0.48 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 48%
52% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
26
COLIN COO
79
ALI MAAMA
93
MOUSSA DI
54
KILLIAN S
7
ILAY CAMA
13
NATHAN-DY
 6.9
55
MARCO KAN
83
TRISTAN D
10
YARI VERS
 7.3
9
MIHAJLO C
 6.7
11
THORGAN H
37
KJELL SCH
26
ROSS SYKE
16
CHRISTIAN
 7.2
5
KEVIN MAC
 8.2
11
GUILHERME
6
KAMIEL VA
 9.2
8
ADEM ZORG
 6.9
25
ANAN KHAL
 7.2
10
ANOUAR AI
30
RAUL FLOR
13
KEVIN ROD
SUBSTITUTES · ANDERLECHT
78
Anas Tajaoua...
M
23
Mats Rits
M
6
Ludwig Augus...
D
32
Justin Heeke...
G
61
Joshua Nga K...
M
4
Mathys Angel...
D
99
Ibrahim Kana...
M
91
Adriano Bert...
F
3
Lucas Hey
D
77
Coba da Cost...
F
COACH: Jeremy Taravel
SUBSTITUTES · UNION ST. GILLOISE
29
Massire Syll...
D
48
Fedde Leysen
D
1
Vic Chambaer...
G
7
Mohammed Fus...
F
14
Ivan Pavlić
M
17
Rob Schoofs
M
27
Louis Patris
D
22
Ousseynou Ni...
M
20
Marc Giger
F
COACH: David Hubert
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
—
AND MANAGER
Jeremy Taravel
head coach
UNI MANAGER
David Hubert
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
AND WINS
3
DRAWS
5
UNI WINS
20%
30%
50%
6 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
30 Nov 25
Anderlecht
1 – 0
Union St. Gilloise
W
31 Aug 25
Union St. Gilloise
2 – 0
Anderlecht
L
10 May 25
Anderlecht
0 – 1
Union St. Gilloise
L
12 Apr 25
Union St. Gilloise
2 – 0
Anderlecht
L
23 Feb 25
Anderlecht
0 – 2
Union St. Gilloise
L
ANDERLECHT LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L L
UNION ST. GILLOISE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
ANDERLECHT #4
Lost · already at 28 pts
UEFA Europa League Qualification
UNION ST. GILLOISE #1
Won · already at 46 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Union St. Gilloise 35 23 10 2 +38 46
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 34 11 9 14 -2 42
W W W D W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D W W W
1 Genk 35 13 12 10 +1 30
D D W D W
2 KVC Westerlo 35 13 9 13 -2 29
L W L W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W W L W W
2 Cercle Brugge 34 10 11 13 -1 41
W W W D W
2 Club Brugge KV 35 24 3 8 +32 44
W W L W W
3 Antwerp 35 12 8 15 +2 27
W W W L L
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W W D L L
3 RAAL La Louvière 34 6 13 15 -17 31
L L L L D
3 St. Truiden 35 20 4 11 +15 36
W W D L L
4 Anderlecht 35 14 8 13 +1 28
L L W W L
4 Dender 34 4 10 20 -31 22
L L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
L D D L D
4 Standard Liege 35 13 8 14 -7 27
D L W L W
5 Charleroi 35 11 8 16 -4 24
W D L W L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L L L L D
5 Gent 35 13 9 13 +2 26
L D D L D
6 KV Mechelen 35 12 10 13 -8 24
L L L L D
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L L W W L
6 OH Leuven 35 9 8 18 -19 18
L L L D L
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
D D W D W
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
D L W L W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L W L W W
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W W W L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W L
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L L L D L
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W D W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
W W W D W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
L L L L D
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
L L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Ibrahim Kanate
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Taravel
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Moussa Diarra
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nathan-Dylan Saliba
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kevin Rodriguez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guilherme Smith
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Adem Zorgane
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Anan Khalaili
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yari Verschaeren
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Mac Allister
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Raul Florucz
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guilherme Smith
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Cvetkovic
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ilay Camara
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 45'+7
    Card · Red Card · Killian Sardella
  • 45'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Rodriguez
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Cvetkovic
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Cvetkovic
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adem Zorgane
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ross Sykes
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adem Zorgane
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ANDERLECHT WIN
4.77
21% implied
↑ best 5.16
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.79
UNION ST. GILLOI WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.80

Market favors Union St. Gilloise. AI projects ANDERLECHT 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ANDERLECHT 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.00 3.55 1.70 +22.0%
1xBet 4.71 3.79 1.75 +20.8%
Bet365 5.00 3.50 1.67 +22.0%
Betano 5.00 3.65 1.75 +22.0%
Betfair 4.75 3.50 1.65 +20.9%
BetVictor 4.80 3.70 1.70 +21.2%
Dafabet 4.60 3.60 1.80 +20.3%
Marathonbet 4.60 3.70 1.71 +20.3%
Pinnacle 5.16 3.76 1.74 +22.6%
SBO 4.42 3.38 1.71 +19.4%
Unibet 4.60 3.65 1.74 +20.3%
William Hill 4.60 3.40 1.73 +20.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.37
2.5 O 1.97 U 1.83
3.5 O 3.39 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 9 bks
NO
1.85 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.26
Away -0.5 1.24
Away -0.75 1.12
Away -1 1.00
Away -1.25 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.