Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 23 JUL · 18:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
ALUMINIJ
7'
0 0
DINAMO TIRANA
⚽ 84' Matic Vrbanec
GOALS
⚽ 15' Hekuran Berisha
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 28/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ALU
1 1
DIN
most likely scoreline · 14.1% probability
AI PICKS ALUMINIJ TO WIN 38%
LIVE · 7' 0 – 0
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
ALU WIN 38%
DRAW 35%
DIN WIN 27%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 73% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 73% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Only 2 minutes in with no data — treat as weak baseline; xG and team quality unavailable.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ALUMINIJ FAVORED
38%
Aluminij poor recent form (LDLWL) and weak home record (LWLLD)
+20.0%
WHY DINAMO TIRANA CHALLENGED
27%
Dinamo Tirana limited form data and road record; Europa Conference context unclear
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at 2' with 0-0 scoreline — minimal predictive signal yet
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 15' HEKURAN BE 84' MATIC VRBA 7' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.0
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.1
13.5
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.3
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.1%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.0%
2 — 0 7.3%
Top 5 = 61.4% · rest 38.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.23
35.0%
2.86
+12.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.48
73.0%
1.37
+8.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.70
38.0%
2.63
+2.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.41
62.0%
1.61
-12.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
48.0%
2.08
-16.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
65.0%
1.54
-16.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.98
42.0%
2.38
-16.7%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.43
27.0%
3.70
-34.3%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.