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Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · GROUP 1 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 15:30 LOCAL
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ALONDRAS
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME
CD LUGO B
GOALS
⚽ 3' — ⚽ 40' — ⚽ 49' — ⚽ 84' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 78/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ALO
0 – 2
CD
most likely scoreline · 15.1% probability
AI PICKS CD LUGO B TO WIN 89%
FT 0 – 4
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ALO WIN 3%
DRAW 8%
CD WIN 89%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
CD LUGO B TO WIN

AI consensus across 89% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 89% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

CD Lugo B 2-0 up at HT with 45 min remaining; Alondras would need dramatic shift to mount comeback.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ALONDRAS CHALLENGED
3%
2-goal lead at halftime — only 45 min left for Alondras to equalize
CONTEXT
No recent form/xG data available; relying on current scoreline dominance
CONTEXT
Alondras scoreless in first half; Lugo B clean sheet suggests defensive control
CONTEXT
WHY CD LUGO B FAVORED
89%
2-goal lead at halftime — only 45 min left for Alondras to equalize
CONTEXT
No recent form/xG data available; relying on current scoreline dominance
CONTEXT
Alondras scoreless in first half; Lugo B clean sheet suggests defensive control
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 2-goal lead at halftime — only 45 min left for Alondras to equalize
  • No recent form/xG data available; relying on current scoreline dominance
  • Alondras scoreless in first half; Lugo B clean sheet suggests defensive control
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 3' ⚽ 40' ⚽ 49' ⚽ 84'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
12.9
15.1
11.8
6.9
3.2
1.3
1
3.1
7.2
8.4
6.6
3.9
1.8
0.7
2
0.9
2.0
2.4
1.8
1.1
0.5
0.2
3
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
4
·
·
0.1
·
·
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 15.1%
0 — 1 12.9%
0 — 3 11.8%
1 — 2 8.4%
1 — 1 7.2%
Top 5 = 55.3% · rest 44.7%