La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · WED, 13 MAY · 19:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
ALAVES
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
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MINS
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SECS
Estadio de Mendizorroza · 19,840 capacity
BARCELONA
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 68/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ALA
1 2
BAR
most likely scoreline · 11.7% probability
AI PICKS BARCELONA TO WIN 60%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
ALA WIN 18%
DRAW 22%
BAR WIN 60%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BARCELONA TO WIN

AI consensus across 60% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 60% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Barcelona runaway league leaders vs relegation-battling Alaves; away win heavy favourite despite modest BTTS odds.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ALAVES CHALLENGED
18%
Massive quality gulf: Barca 1st (91 pts, +60 GD) vs Alaves 19th (37 pts, -13 GD)
+25.0%
Alaves home form mediocre (LWDDD) — only 1W in last 5 at home; Barca unbeaten on road (WWWWD)
+20.0%
Barca's 5-match winning streak + xG dominance (91 GF across season) vs Alaves poor defence (54 GA)
+15.0%
WHY BARCELONA FAVORED
60%

AI reasoning narrative not yet generated for this team.

🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.8
11.7
8.5
4.6
2.0
0.7
1
4.1
9.0
9.7
7.0
3.8
1.7
0.6
2
1.7
3.7
4.0
2.9
1.6
0.7
0.3
3
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 11.7%
0 — 1 10.8%
1 — 2 9.7%
1 — 1 9.0%
0 — 3 8.5%
Top 5 = 49.7% · rest 50.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.08
60.0%
1.67
+24.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.34
82.0%
1.22
+10.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
78.0%
1.28
-2.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.48
58.0%
1.72
-14.2%
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.74
22.0%
4.55
-17.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.45
52.0%
1.92
-24.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.72
40.0%
2.50
-31.2%
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.23
18.0%
5.56
-41.9%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.