GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ALAVES 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 02 MAY · 16:30 LOCAL
ALAVES
14TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W D W
FT
2 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ATHLETIC CLUB
L D L L L
· 12TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 46' Robert Navarro ⚽ 74' Oihan Sancet ⚽ 83' Nico Williams ⚽ 87' Nico Williams
Nico Williams
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nico Williams
Athletic Club · 89 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 21% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Alavés vs Athletic Club
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

81%
BALL POSSESSION %
120%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
314%
PASS ACCURACY %
330%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 41'
    Card · Argument
    ATH
  2. 46'
    Goal · 1-1
    Robert Navarro · assist Nico Williams
    ATH
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · assist Mikel Jauregizar
    ATH
  4. 46'
    Subst
    Robert Navarro · assist Iñaki Williams
    ATH
  5. 46'
    Subst
    Oihan Sancet · assist Unai Gómez
    ATH
  6. 59'
    Card · Argument
    Gorka Guruzeta
    ATH
  7. 73'
    Subst
    Jesús Areso · assist Andoni Gorosabel
    ATH
  8. 74'
    Goal · 2-2
    Oihan Sancet · assist Yuri Berchiche
    ATH
  9. 76'
    Card · Argument
    Nico Williams
    ATH
  10. 83'
    Goal · 2-3
    Nico Williams · assist Gorka Guruzeta
    ATH
  11. 84'
    Card
    Mikel Jauregizar
    ATH
  12. 87'
    Goal · 2-4
    Nico Williams · assist Gorka Guruzeta
    ATH
  13. 89'
    Subst
    Adama Boiro · assist Nico Williams
    ATH
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ALAVES AVG 6.9
ATHLETIC CLUB AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
81.0%
POSSESSION %
120.0%
402.0
PASSES
402.0
314.0%
PASS ACCURACY
330.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
26.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
13.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ALAVES 3 shots
Antonio Blanco
1/1
Nahuel Tenaglia
1/1
Toni Martínez
1/1
ATHLETIC CLUB 6 shots
Nico Williams
2/3
Oihan Sancet
1/1
Robert Navarro
1/1
Yuri Berchiche
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 4-2-3-1
5-3-2
4-2-3-1
1
ANTONIO S
21
ABDERRAHM
24
VICTOR PA
 7.5
14
NAHUEL TE
17
JONNY OTT
7
ÁNGEL PéR
4
DENIS SUá
 7.7
8
ANTONIO B
19
PABLO IBá
22
IBRAHIM D
 6.6
11
TONI MART
1
UNAI SIMó
 6.9
17
YURI BERC
14
AYMERIC L
5
YERAY ÁLV
2
GOROSABEL
18
MIKEL JAU
 7.2
30
ALEJANDRO
 8.9
10
NICO WILL
20
UNAI GóME
9
IñAKI WIL
11
GORKA GUR
SUBSTITUTES · ALAVES
18
Jon Guridi
M
10
Carles Aleñá
M
6
Ander Guevar...
M
9
Mariano Díaz
F
20
Calebe
M
16
Ville Koski
D
27
Egoitz Muñoz
D
5
Jon Pacheco
D
3
Youssef Lekh...
D
31
Grégoire Swi...
G
13
Raúl Fernánd...
G
34
Aitor Mañas
F
COACH: Quique Sanchez Flores
SUBSTITUTES · ATHLETIC CLUB
3
Daniel Vivia...
D
7
Álex Berengu...
F
6
Mikel Vesga
M
22
Nico Serrano
F
12
Jesús Areso
D
19
Adama Boiro
D
4
Aitor Parede...
D
27
Alex Padilla
G
16
Iñigo Ruiz d...
M
23
Robert Navar...
M
8
Oihan Sancet
M
25
Urko Izeta
F
COACH: Ernesto Valverde
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ALA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATH · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Quintero
—
ALA MANAGER
Quique Sanchez Flores
head coach
ATH MANAGER
Ernesto Valverde
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
ALA WINS
3
DRAWS
5
ATH WINS
20%
30%
50%
6 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Sep 2025
Athletic Club
0 – 1
Alaves
W
11 May 2025
Athletic Club
1 – 0
Alaves
L
15 Dec 2024
Alaves
1 – 1
Athletic Club
D
16 Mar 2024
Athletic Club
2 – 0
Alaves
L
16 Jan 2024
Athletic Club
2 – 0
Alaves
L
ALAVES LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D W
ATHLETIC CLUB LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–4 · result locked
ALAVES #14
Lost · already at 43 pts
ATHLETIC CLUB #12
Won · already at 45 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Adama Boiro
    8th Substitution
  • 87'
    Goal · 2-4 · Nico Williams
    6th Goal
  • 84'
    Card · Mikel Jauregizar
    7th Yellowcard
  • 83'
    Goal · 2-3 · Nico Williams
    5th Goal
  • 76'
    Card · Argument · Nico Williams
    5th Yellowcard
  • 74'
    Goal · 2-2 · Oihan Sancet
    4th Goal
  • 73'
    Subst · Jesús Areso
    7th Substitution
  • 59'
    Card · Argument · Gorka Guruzeta
    4th Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Oihan Sancet
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Robert Navarro
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
    1st Substitution
  • 46'
    Goal · 1-1 · Robert Navarro
    2nd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 41'
    Card · Argument
    8th Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ALAVES WIN
2.78
36% implied
↑ best 2.90
DRAW
3.29
30.4% implied
↑ best 3.40
ATHLETIC CLUB WIN
2.57
38.9% implied
↑ best 2.66

Market favors Athletic Club. AI projects ALAVES 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ALAVES 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.68 3.35 2.52 +0.7%
1xBet 2.90 3.39 2.66 +3.5%
Bet365 2.75 3.30 2.50 +1.6%
Betano 2.67 3.40 2.60 +0.5%
Betfair 2.75 3.20 2.55 +1.6%
BetVictor 2.80 3.25 2.55 +2.3%
Dafabet 2.80 3.30 2.65 +2.3%
Marathonbet 2.88 3.32 2.62 +3.3%
Pinnacle 2.88 3.37 2.61 +3.3%
SBO 2.69 3.14 2.56 +0.8%
Unibet 2.75 3.30 2.55 +1.6%
William Hill 2.75 3.10 2.50 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.34 U 3.18
2.5 O 2.09 U 1.75
3.5 O 3.62 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.79 9 bks
NO
1.94 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.60
Away -0.5 1.46
Away -0.75 1.30
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.