GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · AL-AHLI JEDDAH 48%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
AFC Champions League Elite · FINAL · SAT 25 APR · 16:15 LOCAL
AL-AHLI JEDDAH
AET
1 – 0
AFTER EXTRA TIME HT · 0-0
MACHIDA ZELVIA
Yuta Nakayama
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yuta Nakayama
Machida Zelvia · 95 mins
· 27% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.67
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.63
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
6
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Enzo Millot
    AL-
  2. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Erik · assist Sang-Ho Na
    MAC
  3. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Enzo Millot · assist Firas Al-Buraikan
    AL-
  4. 68'
    Card · Red Card
    Zakaria Hawsawi
    AL-
  5. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tete Yengi
    MAC
  6. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Neta Lavi · assist Hokuto Shimoda
    MAC
  7. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tete Yengi · assist Shota Fujio
    MAC
  8. 90'+5
    Card · Red Card
    Mohammed Abdulrahman
    AL-
  9. 90'+7
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yuta Nakayama · assist Ibrahim Drešević
    MAC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AL-AHLI JEDDAH AVG 7.2
MACHIDA ZELVIA AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
0.6
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
368.0
PASSES
264.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AL-AHLI JEDDAH 3 shots
Wenderson Galeno
1/2
Roger Ibañez
0/1
MACHIDA ZELVIA 1 shots
Hiroyuki Mae
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.67 – 0.63
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT H 1.67 A 0.63 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
7.0
16
EDOUARD M
2
ZAKARIA H
 7.3
3
ROGER IBA
28
MERIH DEM
46
RAYAN HAM
 7.2
79
FRANCK KE
6
VALENTIN
 7.5
13
WENDERSON
10
ENZO MILL
 7.0
7
RIYAD MAH
17
IVAN TONE
 7.2
1
KOSEI TAN
 8.0
19
YUTA NAKA
 7.3
50
DAIHACHI
3
GEN SHOJI
 7.0
26
KOTARO HA
31
NETA LAVI
 7.0
16
HIROYUKI
88
HOTAKA NA
99
TETE YENG
7
YUKI SOMA
27
ERIK
SUBSTITUTES · AL-AHLI JEDDAH
47
Saleh Abu Al...
F
30
Ziyad Aljoha...
M
14
Eid Al Muwal...
M
9
Firas Al-Bur...
F
20
Matheus Gonç...
F
5
Mohammed Sul...
D
60
Yazan Madani
D
32
Matteo Dams
D
29
Mohammed Abd...
D
62
Abdullah Abd...
G
1
Abdulrahman...
G
77
Ricardo Math...
F
COACH: Matthias Jaissle
SUBSTITUTES · MACHIDA ZELVIA
23
Ryohei Shira...
M
9
Shota Fujio
F
34
Futa Tokumur...
F
49
Kanji Kuwaya...
F
11
Asahi Masuya...
M
6
Henry Heroki...
D
18
Hokuto Shimo...
M
8
Keiya Sento
M
5
Ibrahim Dreš...
D
44
Yoshiaki Ara...
G
13
Tatsuya Mori...
G
10
Sang-Ho Na
F
COACH: Go Kuroda
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AL- · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan
—
AL- MANAGER
Matthias Jaissle
head coach
MAC MANAGER
Go Kuroda
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
AL- WINS
1
DRAWS
0
MAC WINS
100%
AL-AHLI JEDDAH LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W
MACHIDA ZELVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
AL-AHLI JEDDAH #2
Won · already at 17 pts
Playoffs
MACHIDA ZELVIA #1
Lost · already at 17 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 8 7 1 0 +11 22
L W D W W
1 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 +8 17
L W W W D
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah 8 5 2 1 +12 17
W W W W W
2 Vissel Kobe 8 5 1 2 +7 16
L W W W L
3 Tractor Sazi 8 5 2 1 +8 17
L W L W W
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 4 3 1 +4 15
W L D W W
4 Buriram United 8 4 2 2 +2 14
L W D W W
4 Al-Ittihad FC 8 5 0 3 +13 15
L W W W W
5 Al Wahda FC 8 4 2 2 +4 14
L L D L W
5 Melbourne City 8 4 2 2 +2 14
L D D W D
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 8 3 2 3 0 11
L W W L D
6 Johor Darul Takzim FC 8 3 2 3 +1 11
L L W W L
7 FC Seoul 8 2 4 2 +1 10
L L D L D
7 Al-Duhail SC 8 2 2 4 0 8
L L D L W
8 Al Sadd 8 2 2 4 -4 8
L W L W W
8 Gangwon FC 8 2 3 3 -2 9
L D D D D
9 Sharjah FC 8 2 2 4 -8 8
L D L W L
9 Ulsan Hyundai FC 8 2 3 3 -2 9
D L L D L
10 Chengdu Better City 8 1 3 4 -4 6
L L D D D
10 Al-Gharafa 8 2 0 6 -14 6
L L W L L
11 Al Shorta 8 1 2 5 -14 5
W D L L L
11 Shanghai Shenhua 8 1 1 6 -8 4
L L L L L
12 Nasaf 8 1 1 6 -8 4
W D L L L
12 SHANGHAI SIPG 8 0 4 4 -9 4
D D D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yuta Nakayama
  • 90'+5
    Card · Red Card · Mohammed Abdulrahman
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tete Yengi
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Neta Lavi
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tete Yengi
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 68'
    Card · Red Card · Zakaria Hawsawi
    Roughing
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Enzo Millot
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Erik
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Enzo Millot
    Holding
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AL-AHLI JEDDAH WIN
1.66
60.2% implied
↑ best 1.70
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.65
MACHIDA ZELVIA WIN
5.60
17.9% implied
↑ best 6.15

Market favors Al-Ahli Jeddah. AI projects AL-AHLI JEDDAH 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AL-AHLI JEDDAH 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 3.45 5.80 +3.0%
1xBet 1.70 3.46 5.88 +3.1%
888Sport 1.65 3.30 5.50 +1.8%
Bet365 1.62 3.40 5.25 +2.6%
Betano 1.70 3.35 6.10 +3.6%
Betfair 1.62 3.30 5.50 +1.8%
BetVictor 1.65 3.40 5.50 +2.6%
Dafabet 1.68 3.65 5.80 +4.6%
Marathonbet 1.66 3.38 5.75 +2.6%
Pinnacle 1.70 3.42 6.15 +3.7%
SBO 1.60 3.28 5.03 +1.5%
Unibet 1.65 3.55 5.10 +3.8%
William Hill 1.65 3.30 5.50 +1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.70
2.5 O 2.31 U 1.59
3.5 O 4.35 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.19 10 bks
NO
1.60 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.69
Away -0.5 2.22
Away -0.75 1.91
Away -1 1.65
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.