GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · BAYER LEVERKUSEN 46%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT 25 APR · 13:30 LOCAL
1. FC KöLN
14TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D D
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
L W W D L
· 6TH · 55 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 77' Luca Waldschmidt
GOALS
⚽ 43' Patrik Schick (P) ⚽ 52' Patrik Schick
Janis Blaswich
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Janis Blaswich
Bayer Leverkusen · 93 mins
· 12% pass acc
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen
Watch on Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.41
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.33
45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
0
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Edmond Tapsoba
    BAY
  2. 43'
    Goal · Penalty
    Patrik Schick
    BAY
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
    1.
  4. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrik Schick · assist Nathan Tella
    BAY
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Linton Maina · assist Alessio Castro-Montes
    1.
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marius Bulter · assist Jan Thielmann
    1.
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ibrahim Maza · assist Malik Tillman
    BAY
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kristoffer Lund · assist Felipe Chávez
    1.
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Montrell Culbreath · assist Arthur
    BAY
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nathan Tella · assist Eliesse Ben Seghir
    BAY
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Aleix García · assist Ezequiel Fernández
    BAY
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · assist Luca Waldschmidt
    1.
  13. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luca Waldschmidt · assist Said El Mala
    1.
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Eric Martel · assist Youssoupha Niang
    1.
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jarell Quansah · assist Loïc Badé
    BAY
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Janis Blaswich
    BAY
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
1. FC KöLN AVG 7.3
BAYER LEVERKUSEN AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.4
xG
1.3
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
3.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
445.0
PASSES
554.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
1. FC KöLN 13 shots
Said El Mala
3/8
Luca Waldschmidt
2/3
Jakub Kamiński
1/2
BAYER LEVERKUSEN 3 shots
Patrik Schick
2/3
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.41 – 1.33
1.9 1.4 1 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 77' 43' 52' H 2.41 A 1.33 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-1-2
3-4-2-1
1
MARVIN SC
39
CENK ÖZKA
22
JAHMAI SI
28
SEBASTIAN
32
KRISTOFFE
6
ERIC MART
18
ÍSAK BERG
 6.9
37
LINTON MA
 6.9
16
JAKUB KAM
 7.9
13
SAID EL M
30
MARIUS BU
 8.9
28
JANIS BLA
 7.2
12
EDMOND TA
8
ROBERT AN
4
JARELL QU
20
ALEJANDRO
 7.2
24
ALEIX GAR
25
EXEQUIEL
42
MONTRELL
 7.3
23
NATHAN TE
30
IBRAHIM M
 7.6
14
PATRIK SC
SUBSTITUTES · 1. FC KöLN
7
Luca Waldsch...
F
17
Alessio Cast...
M
5
Tom Krauß
M
27
Felipe Cháve...
M
29
Jan Thielman...
M
33
Rav van den...
D
2
Joel Schmied
D
20
Ron-Robert Z...
G
38
Youssoupha N...
F
COACH: Lukas Kwasniok
SUBSTITUTES · BAYER LEVERKUSEN
7
Jonas Hofman...
M
17
Eliesse Ben...
F
6
Ezequiel Fer...
M
13
Arthur
D
10
Malik Tillma...
M
5
Loïc Badé
D
15
Tim Oermann
D
18
Jonas Omlin
G
19
Ernest Poku
F
COACH: Kasper Hjulmand
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
1. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BAY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Robert Hartmann, Germany
—
1. MANAGER
Lukas Kwasniok
head coach
BAY MANAGER
Kasper Hjulmand
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
1. WINS
1
DRAWS
7
BAY WINS
20%
10%
70%
9 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Dec 25
Bayer Leverkusen
2 – 0
1. FC Köln
L
03 Mar 24
1. FC Köln
0 – 2
Bayer Leverkusen
L
08 Oct 23
Bayer Leverkusen
3 – 0
1. FC Köln
L
05 May 23
Bayer Leverkusen
1 – 2
1. FC Köln
W
09 Nov 22
1. FC Köln
1 – 2
Bayer Leverkusen
L
1. FC KöLN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D D
BAYER LEVERKUSEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
1. FC KöLN #14
Lost · already at 31 pts
BAYER LEVERKUSEN #6
Won · already at 55 pts
Conference League Qualification
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 31 26 4 1 +81 82
W W W W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 31 20 7 4 +34 67
W L L W W
3 RB Leipzig 31 19 5 7 +24 62
W W W W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 31 17 6 8 +20 57
D L W L W
5 1899 Hoffenheim 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W W D L L
6 Bayer Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 +20 55
W L W W D
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 31 11 10 10 -2 43
D L W D L
8 SC Freiburg 31 12 7 12 -8 43
L W W L W
9 FC Augsburg 31 10 7 14 -16 37
D W D D L
10 FSV Mainz 05 31 8 10 13 -10 34
L D L W W
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 7 11 13 -14 32
D D L D D
12 Werder Bremen 31 8 8 15 -18 32
D W L L W
13 Union Berlin 31 8 8 15 -20 32
L L L D L
14 1. FC Köln 31 7 10 14 -8 31
L D W D D
15 Hamburger SV 31 7 10 14 -16 31
L L L D L
16 FC St. Pauli 31 6 8 17 -27 26
L D L D L
17 VfL Wolfsburg 31 6 7 18 -25 25
D W L L L
18 1. FC Heidenheim 31 5 7 19 -31 22
W L W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Janis Blaswich
    Delay of game
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jarell Quansah
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Eric Martel
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luca Waldschmidt
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Aleix García
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nathan Tella
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Montrell Culbreath
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kristoffer Lund
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ibrahim Maza
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marius Bulter
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Linton Maina
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrik Schick
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
    Roughing
  • 43'
    Goal · Penalty · Patrik Schick
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Edmond Tapsoba
    Roughing
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
1. FC KöLN WIN
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.90
DRAW
3.94
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.11
BAYER LEVERKUSEN WIN
1.89
52.9% implied
↑ best 1.95

Market favors Bayer Leverkusen. AI projects BAYER LEVERKUSEN 46%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BAYER LEVERKUSEN 46% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.50 3.85 1.90 +0.0%
1xBet 3.90 4.11 1.94 +2.4%
888Sport 3.60 3.80 1.85 +0.2%
Bet365 3.70 4.00 1.85 +1.0%
Betano 3.80 4.10 1.93 +1.7%
Betfair 3.75 3.90 1.87 +1.3%
BetVictor 3.60 4.00 1.87 +1.0%
Dafabet 3.75 4.00 1.91 +1.3%
Marathonbet 3.84 4.05 1.91 +2.0%
Pinnacle 3.85 4.09 1.90 +2.0%
SBO 3.39 3.71 1.95 -1.0%
Unibet 3.70 3.85 1.86 +1.0%
William Hill 3.60 3.80 1.85 +0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.28
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.53
3.5 O 2.25 U 1.65
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.47 10 bks
NO
2.56 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.34
Away -0.5 1.28
Away -0.75 1.17
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.07
Away -1.5 1.05
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.