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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NECAXA 38%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 2 · SUN, 26 JUL · 23:00 LOCAL
NECAXA
15TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D D L
76'
1 – 1
HT · 0-0
MONTERREY
W L W L W
· 13TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 56' J. Carranza
GOALS
⚽ 67' L. Ocampos (P)
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Monterrey · 67'

LIVE
MONTERRE NECAXA

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

NECAXA MONTERRE
⚽ 56' ⚽ 67' NECAXA MONTERREY 46' 61' 76'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 76'

64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
5
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Monreal
    NEC
  2. 20'
    Card · Red Card
    S. Medina
    MON
  3. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Faravelli
    NEC
  4. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Chávez
    MON
  5. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo
    MON
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Monreal · assist M. Rodríguez
    NEC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Corona · assist O. Pineda
    MON
  8. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Carranza · assist Francisco Méndez
    NEC
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Rossi · assist H. Cuypers
    MON
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    G. Arteaga · assist A. Aceves
    MON
  11. 67'
    Goal · Penalty
    L. Ocampos
    MON
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
348.0
PASSES
193.0
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NECAXA 9 shots
J. Carranza
3/5
F. Méndez
0/2
A. Oliveros
0/1
L. Faravelli
1/1
MONTERREY 3 shots
L. Ocampos
1/3
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
12
L. JIMéNE
30
R. MONREA
 7.0
3
A. OLIVER
20
FRANCISCO
11
JUAN TORR
88
C. VARGAS
6
D. LEYVA
 6.7
8
L. FARAVE
 7.9
9
J. CARRAN
10
J. RUIZ
 8.1
22
L. CáRDEN
 6.7
3
G. ARTEAG
13
C. SALCED
33
S. MEDINA
2
R. CHáVEZ
 6.8
30
J. RODRíG
8
ÓLIVER TO
 7.1
7
L. OCAMPO
17
J. CORONA
10
L. ORELLA
9
D. ROSSI
SUBSTITUTES · NECAXA
27
Miguel Pedro...
F
99
M. Rodríguez
M
17
R. Cortéz
M
14
M. Zaleta
M
16
P. Pedraza
M
21
M. Espíndola
M
2
E. Martínez
D
5
Kaiky Naves
D
1
Christopher...
G
90
Juan Valenci...
F
COACH: Martin Varini
SUBSTITUTES · MONTERREY
194
Cristian Rey...
M
99
H. Cuypers
F
5
F. Ambríz
M
25
O. Pineda
M
11
Iker Fimbres
M
4
V. Guzmán
D
21
L. Reyes
D
19
A. Aceves
D
31
C. Ramos
G
32
Uroš Đurđevi...
F
COACH: Matias Almeyda
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ivan Antonio Lopez Sanchez, Mexico
—
NEC MANAGER
Martin Varini
head coach
MON MANAGER
Matias Almeyda
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
NEC WINS
0
DRAWS
9
MON WINS
10%
90%
5 – 23
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Jan 2026
Necaxa
0 – 2
Monterrey
L
24 Aug 2025
Monterrey
3 – 0
Necaxa
L
02 Feb 2025
Monterrey
1 – 0
Necaxa
L
18 Jul 2024
Necaxa
0 – 1
Monterrey
L
29 Apr 2024
Necaxa
2 – 5
Monterrey
L
NECAXA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D L
MONTERREY LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 1–1 · scenario projection
NECAXA #15
If loss holds: 18 pts
MONTERREY #13
If loss holds: 18 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 67'
    Goal · Penalty · L. Ocampos
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · G. Arteaga
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Rossi
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Carranza
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Corona
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Monreal
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Salcedo
    Foul
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Chávez
    Foul
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Faravelli
    Foul
  • 20'
    Card · Red Card · S. Medina
    Serious foul
  • 5'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Monreal
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NECAXA WIN
3.10
32.3% implied
↑ best 3.32
DRAW
3.59
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.76
MONTERREY WIN
2.13
46.9% implied
↑ best 2.27

Market favors Monterrey. AI projects NECAXA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NECAXA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.05 3.75 2.08 +5.3%
1xBet 2.86 3.54 2.27 +3.8%
Bet365 3.30 3.50 2.10 +7.7%
Betano 3.30 3.50 2.12 +7.7%
Betfair 3.20 3.70 2.05 +6.8%
BetVictor 3.10 3.70 2.10 +5.7%
Dafabet 3.25 3.65 2.14 +7.2%
Marathonbet 2.84 3.54 2.25 +3.8%
Pinnacle 3.32 3.76 2.14 +7.9%
SBO 2.85 3.43 2.13 +2.9%
Superbet 3.20 3.55 2.12 +6.8%
Unibet 3.15 3.70 2.05 +6.3%
William Hill 2.88 3.30 2.10 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.68
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.30
3.5 O 2.43 U 1.51
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.49 10 bks
NO
2.42 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.45
Away -0.5 1.36
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.